ucraine : ))

A) The COVID narrative has worn out, and now that the panic has subsided people are going to come face to face with massive inflation and economic hardship caused solely by the incompetence, negligence, and malice of their own government.

B) There needs to be a shift of the blame from the government towards some evil enemy: Russia.

C) A war may serve two functions: it could simultaneously serve as an excuse for economic hardship while also being a means to ‘stimulate’ the economy and pull out of that same hardship (if you’re worried about official narratives making sense, then you haven’t been paying attention for the past six years).

1. A massive uprising started in Belarus as result of the (alleged) election scam by Lukashenko.

2. The “opposition” was well organised, with enough leaders to represent a potential transitional government.

3. Lukashenko immediately cracked down on the uprising, and the opposition fled abroad, but received full protection, backing, and political platform to continue controlling the revolutionary movements from inside Lithuania/Poland.

4. The protests kept growing in size, and problems started arising when many policemen and their families started getting doxxed. 

5. Lukashenko was walking a thin line on the verge of losing support of his army and police, as there were many within the military elite who wanted him gone as well.

Fast-forward to 2nd half of the uprisings:

1. Suddenly you see the leadership of Russia’s FSB and SVR flying planes into Minsk.

2. Suddenly you see Russia’s prime minister flying to Minsk.

3. There’s literally FSB-own planes dashing between Moscow and Minsk for several days

4. Uprisings suddenly start dying down, lots of people arrested, opposition completely dismantled and discredited. 

5. Lukashenko starts publicly kissing Putin’s feet, calling him his “saviour”, while also accusing the west of “attempted assassinations against him”

6. Suddenly Lukashenko agrees to sign all deals and treaties for deeper Union State integration.

7. Suddenly Lukashenko welcomes Russians nukes, Russian military bases, and extensive Russian military exercises on Belarus territory.

8. Suddenly Lukashenko picks up and just repeats Russia’s narratives about Ukraine and NATO.

9. Suddenly Belarus central bank shifts to Russian-owned financial system and talks of a united currency, united parliament, etc.